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U.S. Trustee: Puerto Rico Retirees Will Get Bankruptcy Committee

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The U.S. Department of Justice's bankruptcy watchdog said on Friday that it plans to appoint a committee of retirees in Puerto Rico's bankruptcy to negotiate for pensioners facing benefit cuts as part of the island's debt restructuring, Reuters reported Friday. Puerto Rico, carrying some $50 billion in unfunded pension liabilities, "clearly needs a retiree committee and sooner rather than later," the office of the U.S. Trustee said in a filing in federal court in San Juan. Puerto Rico filed the biggest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history earlier this month. In addition to its pension debt, the U.S. territory has around $70 billion in bond debt it cannot pay. While retiree committees are common in bankruptcies with big pension debts, the Trustee in Puerto Rico's case took the rare step of announcing intentions to appoint a committee without waiting for a blessing from the judge in the case, U.S. District Judge Laura Taylor Swain. Puerto Rico's biggest public pensions are almost 100 percent underfunded, a gap thought to be the largest state-level pension hole in U.S. history. The federally appointed board overseeing the island's finances has called for cuts to pension benefits, saying they are necessary to pull the island out of a crisis marked by a 45 percent poverty rate, unemployment more than twice the U.S. average, and near-insolvent public health systems. The Trustee said it expects to complete the solicitation process for the committee by June 16.
 
For more news and analysis of Puerto Rico's debt crisis, be sure to visit ABI's "Puerto Rico in Distress" webpage.

 

Puerto Rico's Tax Dodgers Hide in Plain Sight on Every Corner

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The no-plastic enterprises that exist throughout Puerto Rico represent some of the biggest problems for the debt-swamped U.S. territory, and some of the biggest opportunities, Bloomberg reported today. From the fruit stands to the bakeries to the barbershops, there’s little love for the tax authorities – and apparently little interest in transactions they can track. Estimates are that about a third of Puerto Rico’s gross national product — as much as $21 billion — is produced off the books. The government loses out on sales and income taxes as millions operate in an underground economy that grew as the official one atrophied. Measuring the phenomenon exactly is almost impossible, though reasons for it are in government data. More than 45 percent of people live below the poverty level. The unemployment rate is over 11 percent. There isn’t an abundance of above-board opportunities for many who stitch livings together with what’s called chiripeando, slang for receiving small under-the-table incomes from multiple sources. In addition, the territory’s 11.5 percent sales tax is the steepest in the U.S., so ducking it with cash-only trades is routine for businesses of all sizes.
 
For more news and analysis of Puerto Rico's debt crisis, be sure to visit ABI's "Puerto Rico in Distress" webpage.

 

Bond Insurer’s Appetite for Puerto Rico Debt Hasn’t Waned

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While some investors flee Puerto Rico securities, a major bond insurer is still a buyer, the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday. Ambac Assurance Corp. has been aggressive this year in repurchasing distressed bonds that the company has guaranteed, said Chief Executive Claude LeBlanc said on an earnings call last week. The buybacks include municipal debt issued by Puerto Rico. Repurchasing bonds in the open market allows bond insurers to chip away at problematic exposures, provided the debt is cheap enough. Both Ambac and MBIA Inc. bought back Puerto Rico sales-tax bonds, known as COFINAs, after prices fell when the island’s former governor declared its debt unpayable in 2015. Now Ambac is accelerating its buyback strategy, doubling down last quarter on investments in its own securities, said Odeon Capital Group research analyst Andrew Gadlin. The company owns 16% of the $7.3 billion in COFINAs it guarantees, up from the $233 million it reported owning last year. The more insured debt that Ambac buys back, the easier it will be for the regulator to justify releasing the bad bank from court supervision, and the less likely policyholders at the good bank will object.
 
For more news and analysis of Puerto Rico's debt crisis, be sure to visit ABI's "Puerto Rico in Distress" webpage.

 

The Detroit Success Story Visible from Space

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In January, Astronaut Shane Kimbrough, floating 200 miles above Earth in the International Space Station, shot a nighttime photo of Detroit, Cleveland and Toledo, Politico Magazine reported yesterday. While Cleveland and Toledo are lit up orange-yellow, the Motor City glows bright white. If the same photo had been taken three years earlier, Detroit would’ve looked yellow and considerably dimmer, a perfect visual of the rapidly declining fortunes of a city that was once a beacon of American industry. Detroit was bankrupt, and nearly half of its 88,000 streetlights were dark, victims of budget cuts and copper thieves. After decades of abandonment and poor financial decisions, the city government had slashed maintenance budgets. When the sodium-vapor streetlight bulbs burned out, they could go months or years without being replaced. The re-illumination of Detroit is the result of a desperate but innovative plan that has pulled the city out of its dark age in a surprisingly short period of time. In January 2014, Detroit’s new Public Lighting Authority embarked on a three-year, $185 million project to replace the city’s failing sodium-vapor lights with energy-efficient LED lights. The new agency, created by the state and city governments, secured financing for the project while Detroit was in the midst of the nation’s largest ever chapter 9 municipal bankruptcy — a move that could help other cash-strapped cities.

New Bankruptcy Judgeship Bill Passes U.S. House

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NEWS AND ANALYSIS

New Bankruptcy Judgeship Bill Passes U.S. House

The U.S. House of Representatives has approved a bill designed to shore up the bankruptcy courts, just a week before 29 temporary bankruptcy judgeships — more than 8 percent of the nation’s current bankruptcy judges — are set to expire on May 25, Bloomberg BNA reported today. The Bankruptcy Judgeship Act of 2017 (H.R. 2266) passed by a voice vote under a suspension of the rules, a procedure requiring a two-thirds vote for passage and which prohibits floor amendments. Two of the measure’s four co-sponsors spoke from the House floor, championing the bill as a bipartisan effort to protect the bankruptcy courts, according to Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-Va.), chairman of the House Judiciary Committee. The measure would make 14 of those temporary positions permanent and would provide for another four new bankruptcy judgeships. The judgeships created by the bill would not require funding by taxpayers, Goodlatte stressed. Instead, the positions will be funded by quarterly fees assessed against large chapter 11 debtors — those that have quarterly disbursements of at least $1 million. And those fees won’t be assessed unless the U.S. Trustee’s System Fund dips below $200 million. The judgeships are to be for the districts of Delaware, Maryland, Nevada and Puerto Rico, the Southern District of Florida, the Eastern District of Michigan, the Eastern District of North Carolina and the Eastern District of Virginia.
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Commentary: Bankruptcy Should Be a Last Resort for Struggling Hartford, Conn.

Last Tuesday, when Hartford, Conn., Mayor Luke Bronin announced that he had had initial conversations with attorneys who specialize in chapter 9 municipal bankruptcy, the move was a surprise to the municipal bond market, as well as other members of the Hartford city board who were unaware of the mayor's intentions, and many called the move premature, according to a commentary in Seeking Alpha today. For quite some time, it has been publicly known that Hartford is facing financial troubles. In October 2016, Moody's downgraded Hartford's general obligation debt to Ba2, citing the city's inability to run a balanced budget, tax increase constraints and the limited likelihood that the state of Connecticut will step in to assist them, given that the state is in fiscal straits. In fiscal year 2017, Hartford faces a $14 million deficit and expects to face an even greater $65 million deficit in fiscal year 2018. With all this news, and in an effort to be transparent, as recently as April of this year the mayor has said that bankruptcy was not off the table. Transparency was not the mayor's misstep; the wrong move he made was jumping to a last resort while skipping other meaningful steps along the way, according to the commentary. This was something that Hartford’s mayor understood back in June 2016 when he said bankruptcy was on the bottom of a list of solutions the city is pursuing. As other Hartford council members have expressed, Hartford has not exhausted all of the options; they have not even attempted to implement all of their available options. So by doing what the mayor believes is prudent, the city has essentially poisoned its own well, according to the commentary.
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Analysis: The Struggle Behind Oil's Ups and Downs

A great struggle is unfolding in the world oil market, according to an analysis in the Wall Street Journal today. On the one side are forces pushing to rebalance supply and demand; on the other are those pulling to recalibrate the business so that it operates at lower cost. That tension explains why the price keeps jumping toward $60 a barrel and then falling back to near $40. Oil prices collapsed at the end of 2014 because supply and demand had gotten out of whack. That year, global supply grew 2.5 times as fast as demand. The shale revolution in the U.S. was a prime cause of the imbalance; American supply grew by 1.4 million barrels a day in 2014 — 60 percent of the entire increase. By the fall of 2016, lower prices had pushed supply down and stimulated demand, moving the two closer to balance. Around the world, spending on exploration and production for 2015-19 is 50 percent lower than what had been expected in 2014, before the price collapse. At the same time, demand grew in 2016 at almost double the 2014 rate. Rebalancing is now colliding with the other force — recalibration of costs to a lower level of oil prices. This massive adjustment is reshaping the way the global oil industry works.
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Analysis: The Municipal Bond Ripple Effects of the Puerto Rico Bankruptcy

It's easy to conclude that Puerto Rico filing for Title III bankruptcy will mean nothing to the American economy, municipal bond market or stock market. The effects may be intangible or even obscure. However, the various securities that will be affected and the effect that the bankruptcy will have on macro investment considerations are worth exploring, according to an analysis in Seeking Alpha yesterday. There are far-reaching implications of the bankruptcy, as well as the possible restructurings, and most will affect the muni bond markets. By choosing bankruptcy, the entire economic future for Puerto Rico is placed in further jeopardy. It will make it far more difficult for the commonwealth to obtain capital to get itself out of recession, but there are broader-ranging investment concerns. There are major ripple effects that affect large mutual funds, tax-free bond strategies for many retired investors, and scattered individual bond issues. The holistic concern is that risk is now being added to a sector where traditionally risk was considered to be extremely low. That's because the Puerto Rico default is not only the largest in American history, it comes on the heels of Detroit, Stockton, Calif., and numerous other municipal defaults. Investors should be alarmed, according to the analysis, because the muni bond industry has sold investors on the idea of "safety" when situations like this reveal that is not always the case.
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Analysis: Big Banks Can Relax: Trump's Modern Glass-Steagall Isn't Aimed at Breaking Them Up

The Trump administration took the idea of breaking up big banks off the table today, with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin telling a congressional panel that isn’t what officials have in mind in reviewing the line between commercial- and investment-banking activities, according to an analysis in the Wall Street Journal today. “We do not support a separation of banks from investment banks,” Mr. Mnuchin said before the Senate Banking Committee. He said doing so would create problems for the “financial markets, on the economy, and liquidity.” The statement was a strong indication that the Trump administration’s review of U.S. banking regulations will be less onerous than Wall Street’s worst fears. President Trump’s economic team has said it is considering a modern version of the 1933 Glass-Steagall Act — a partially repealed law that would force the largest U.S. banks to break themselves apart if it were still in effect. The issue has created confusion and angst among bankers and analysts, however, and one reason is because Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), a member of the banking committee, has introduced a bill she also calls the “21st Century Glass-Steagall Act.” More details about how the Trump administration wants to tailor rules should come in June, when the Treasury Department is scheduled to report to the President about a broad review of financial regulations.
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Experts Discuss SCOTUS Ruling onMidland Funding, LLC v. Johnson

ABI Editor-at-Large Bill Rochelle yesterday discussed the Supreme Court’s ruling last Monday on the Midland Funding, LLC v. Johnson case with litigators Craig Goldblatt of WilmerHale (Washington, D.C.) and Thad O. Bartholow of Kellett & Bartholow PLLC (Dallas). Click here to access the recorded webinar.
 
In a podcast jointly hosted with the National Creditor Bar Association (NARCA), ABI Resident Scholar Andrew Dawson discussed the Midland ruling with Lauren Burnette of Barron & Neuburger, P.C. (Austin, Texas) and consumer attorney Nick Wooten (Auburn, Ala.). Mr. Wooten represented the debtor in the related case of Crawford v. LVNV Funding, and Ms. Burnette co-authored an amicus brief on behalf of the creditors. Click here to listen to the podcast.

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: Bipartisan Bill Would Raise Stress-Testing Thresholds for Community Banks

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) and Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kan.) introduced legislation yesterday that would raise the stress testing threshold for small and community banks to $50 billion of assets, according to a recent blog post.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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Puerto Rico Creditors Open to Mediation in Bankruptcy Court

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Puerto Rico's main creditors, meeting before a U.S. bankruptcy judge in the largest public finance restructuring case in history, are interested in continuing mediation settlement talks to resolve the island's unpayable $70 billion debt bill, Reuters reported yesterday. In the first hearing since the U.S. commonwealth filed for bankruptcy on May 3, a lawyer for Puerto Rico's federal financial oversight board told U.S. District Court Judge Laura Taylor Swain that the two main creditor groups expressed interest in maintaining the discussions while the case proceeds. Wednesday's hearing marked the start of a process that could take months or years. It is also a culmination of more than two years of bitter debate among Puerto Rico's government, its creditors and federal lawmakers over how the island should rework its debt load that has crippled its economy. Martin Bienenstock of Proskauer said that the board plans to press holders of GO and COFINA to mediate. The amount of debt held, nearly equally between the two, amounts to roughly $36 billion, or half of the total debt stock of Puerto Rico. Swain ruled to combined the GO and COFINA Title III filings for administrative purposes.
 
For more news and analysis of Puerto Rico's debt crisis, be sure to visit ABI's "Puerto Rico in Distress" webpage.

 

Cash-Strapped New Mexico May Overhaul Savings Strategy

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New Mexico policy makers are looking for ways to restore full faith in the state’s credit as they negotiate a solution to a budget crisis, the Associated Press reported today. Lawmakers are studying new strategies for rebuilding state financial reserves that do not involve abrupt spending cuts or tax increases. The state’s dwindling rainy-day funds are on the agenda for next week’s session, in efforts to protect the state’s credit rating and keep borrowing costs affordable for local construction projects. As recently as 2015, New Mexico had $712 million socked away in the event of a downturn in its oil-infused economy. Now the money is mostly gone. Experts in state government finance at the Pew Charitable Trusts say consistent planning can restore confidence among ratings agencies and investors.
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Puerto Rico, Creditors Face Off for First Time in Bankruptcy Court

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Puerto Rico will face investors for the first time in a bankruptcy court, as it kicks off the biggest and most divisive debt restructuring in U.S. public finance history, Reuters reported today. While today’s hearing, in federal court in San Juan, is only the start of a process that could take months or years, it is also a culmination of more than two years of bitter debate among Puerto Rico's government, its creditors and federal lawmakers over how the island should rework its debt load of $70 billion. The bankruptcy process will cover about half of Puerto Rico's debt, though other local public agencies are restructuring out of court, and some could enter bankruptcy later. The bankruptcies will also address $50 billion in underfunded pension liabilities, as Puerto Rico battles a historic crisis marked by a 45 percent poverty rate and near-insolvent public health and retirement systems. The hearing will open with a discussion on the expected timetable for a debt-cutting plan, as well as settlement talks and possible mediation, according to an agenda filed on Tuesday. That may give insight into the style and pacing of U.S. District Judge Laura Taylor Swain. The rest of the agenda, though procedural, could shed light on how aggressive Puerto Rico's creditors will be in pursuing a scorched-earth strategy to thwart debt-cutting efforts.
 
For more news and analysis of Puerto Rico's debt crisis, be sure to visit ABI's "Puerto Rico in Distress" webpage.

 

Puerto Rico Strikes Second Restructuring Deal with Bondholders

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Puerto Rico reached a restructuring agreement with bondholders invested in the commonwealth's Government Development Bank, officials announced yesterday in San Juan, Pensions&Investments reported yesterday. Parties to the agreement include the ad hoc group of bondholders, whose members are funds managed or advised by Avenue Capital Management II, Brigade Capital Management, Fir Tree Partners and Solus Alternative Asset Management. The group's financial adviser, Bradley Meyer of Ducera Partners in New York, said in a statement that the agreement “is fair to all parties.” Puerto Rico's Federal Affairs Administration said in that statement that GDB creditors “have agreed to substantial discounts to the principal,” but did not provide further details on the agreement, which calls for bondholders to exchange claims for one of three tranches of bonds issued by a new municipal entity. The new bonds will have varying principal amounts, interest rates, collateral priority, and other payment terms. It is the second agreement reached with bondholders and Gov. Ricardo Rosello, following one announced April 6 with holders of bonds issued by the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority. The PREPA agreement restructures $9 billion in debt by offering them 85 cents on the dollar, and giving PREPA more time to begin making payments.
 
For more news and analysis of Puerto Rico's debt crisis, be sure to visit ABI's "Puerto Rico in Distress" webpage.

 

San Bernardino Files Audit on Time for First Time Since 2010

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The San Bernardino, Calif., City Council received a report on the audited financial statements for the 2015-16 fiscal year — the first time since 2010 the city’s audit was done on time, the San Bernardino County Sun reported yesterday. The audit includes four qualifications — the technical term for areas where auditors were unable to complete tests proving the accuracy of the city’s numbers. Finance Director Brent Mason said that fixes are already underway for all those issues. Three of the qualifications follow from the city dissolving its redevelopment agency — as required by state law signed in 2011 — and the city’s inability to find adequate documentation to back up related numbers. That documentation can be provided another way, but it will take more time. The final modification, proper valuation of the city’s compensated absences, is contingent on the final approval of the bankruptcy. None of the issues in the audit relate to the city’s general fund or other major funds used for most city spending. The city filed for bankruptcy in August 2012, after a report by new officials revealed a deficit of $45 million — more than 10 times the projected deficit then-City Manager Charles McNeely had reported at a budget review in April 2012.
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