Why Jobless Claims May Not Be as Good as Market Thinks
For the second time in a week, a government unemployment report is sowing confusion—and may not be as positive as the market thinks, CNBC reported yesterday. The Labor Department on Thursday said that the number of people filing jobless claims last week dropped by a seasonally adjusted 30,000. While the government didn’t note any unusual factors in the release itself, a Labor Department official told news agencies about a quirk that partly accounted for the larger-than-expected drop. The wording of that statement, along with the accompanying news headlines, left the impression that one major state didn’t turn in its figures. It is unclear why that happened or how unusual that is, but what is clear is that the expected spike in claims around the start of each quarter was smaller this time than usual. In other words, the drop of 30,000 last week had more to do with the lack of expected refilings at the start of the fourth quarter than with any particular improvement in labor market conditions. And now, there is one state’s labor department with some explaining to do.