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Lack of New Home Listings Weakens Mortgage Demand

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
A dearth of new home listings is hampering mortgage demand even as the benchmark home loan rate continues its downward trajectory, according to data released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), The Hill reported. The Mortgage Composite Index, which measures the volume of mortgage applications, decreased by 4.1 percent from a week earlier, MBA’s data showed. Mortgage rates for nonconforming loans dropped by 5 points from last week to 6.40 percent while fixed mortgage rates for jumbo loans exceeding $726,200 increased to 6.36 percent. “Spring has arrived, but the housing market is missing the customary burst in listings and purchase activity that typically mark the season. After four weeks of increasing purchase application activity, volume declined a bit this week even with another small drop in mortgage rates,” MBA chief economist Mike Fratantoni said. He noted that entry-level loan purchase applications also declined last week, adding that affordability could be an issue for first-time buyers. “We do expect strong demand from first-time homebuyers over the next several years given the large number of millennials hitting peak first-time homebuyer age, but affordability remains a real challenge in this environment,” Fratantoni said. A recent report from the National Association of Realtors shows that older generations hold an edge over their younger counterparts, making up 39 percent of the purchase market in 2022. The share of millennial buyers fell to 28 percent from 41 percent in 2021.
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Anxiety Strikes $8 Trillion Mortgage-Debt Market After SVB Collapse

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

Strains in the banking sector are roiling a roughly $8 trillion bond market considered almost as safe as U.S. government bonds, the Wall Street Journal reported. So-called agency mortgage bonds are widely held by banks, insurers and bond funds because they are backed by the mortgage loans from government-owned lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The bonds are far less likely to default than most debt and are easy to buy and sell quickly, a crucial reason they were Silicon Valley Bank’s biggest investment before it foundered. But agency mortgage-backed securities, like all long-term bonds, are vulnerable to rising interest rates, which pushed their prices down last year and saddled banks such as SVB SIVB -60.41%decrease; red down pointing triangle with unrealized losses. Now that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. has taken over SVB, investors expect the bonds to be sold off in coming months, adding supply to the weakened market and pushing prices lower. Last week, the risk premium on a widely followed Bloomberg index of agency MBS hit its highest level since October, when climbing interest rates turned global markets topsy-turvy. The move reflected fears that other regional banks might have to sell their holdings, bond-fund managers said.