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Private Lenders Ratchet Up Risk as They Fight for Business

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

Private credit funds, flush with cash and competing more intensely to win lending business, are increasingly giving up key safeguards that protect them in tougher times, Bloomberg News reported. About 20% of private loans in the third quarter had lending agreements known as “covenant-lite,” giving creditors fewer ways to trigger bankruptcies or other restructurings for companies that fall into distress, according to investment bank Lincoln International. That’s up from 10% a year ago. And loans offering lenders better protections with two covenants fell to 30% from 50% over the same period. The shift is making the debt look more like syndicated loans that banks sell to investors, but for lenders there’s a key difference: in the syndicated market, money managers end up with just a slice of any loan, sharing risk with dozens of others. In private credit, lenders including standalone funds and credit arms of buyout fund managers like Blackstone Group Inc. or KKR & Co. make much bigger bets in every transaction as they hang onto the loans, leading to more potential losses if even one borrower falls into trouble. 

Global Financial Crash Fears as Evergrande Faces Potential Bankruptcy Action

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A 30-day grace period for Evergrande to pay interest owed on the bonds to its creditors has expired, Express (UK) reported. However, it’s claimed that at least three bond holders have not received any payment. Dr Marco Metzler, Senior Analyst at market data service DMSA, said that they and at least two others had received no payment so far. Unlike many investors, DMSA deliberately bought the bonds with the intention of finding out whether Evergrande was making all its re-payments or not. Three weeks ago they purchased the minimum quantity of $200k (£149.18k) worth. "We are now preparing a bankruptcy proceeding against Evergande and we are already in talks with lawyers and other investors to file these proceedings in the next days,” Dr Metzler said. He further confirmed DMSA were currently in talks regarding the bankruptcy proceedings with two other bondholders who had also not received payment. Fears over the fallout of a collapse of Evergrande have been intensified this week with U.S. central bank the Federal Reserve warning financial stresses in China could strain global markets and "pose risks to global economic growth." Property currently represents 29 percent of China's GDP however the sector, which was once a powerhouse of the country's growth, has struggled recently from growing debt burdens and increasing regulation from the Chinese government.

Corporate-Buyout Loans Near Highs of 2007

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A buyout boom fueled by easy money and a looming hike in the capital-gains tax is sweeping Wall Street deal making to highs not seen since before the 2008 financial crisis, the Wall Street Journal reported. Companies have issued $120 billion of “leveraged loans” this year through Sept. 23 to finance corporate buyouts by private-equity firms — just shy of the $124 billion record for the first nine months of the year set in 2007, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence’s LCD. Most deals have also gotten bigger. The average leveraged buyout cost about $2.5 billion in debt and equity this year, eclipsing the mean of roughly $2 billion in 2007, according to S&P. The wave has swept up household names like satellite-TV operator DirecTV and a unit of cybersecurity firm McAfee Corp., and it has reintroduced megadeals to the market. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recently started marketing $7 billion of loans to investors that will be used by a trio of private-equity firms to finance part of their roughly $34 billion takeover of Medline Industries Inc., the largest leveraged buyout in more than a decade. A mix of government policies have primed the LBO frenzy. Easy money and low interest rates have pushed investors toward the high yields that leveraged loans pay. Meanwhile, company owners are trying to cut deals ahead of anticipated tax overhauls.

Washington Gridlock and a Debt Ceiling Showdown Are Weighing on the Market

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Strategists said the renewed sell-off in U.S. markets is in part thanks to partisan gridlock in Congress over the debt ceiling and government shutdown, CNBC reported. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said that the House will this week pass a government funding bill and a debt ceiling suspension. The bigger hurdle is likely the Senate, where lawmakers will need to muster 60 votes to pass such a bill that isn’t tied to the separate reconciliation legislation. The U.S. stock market is on track to post its worst day in months. And U.S. politics are in part to blame. As the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 614 points on Monday  —  its worst day since July  — and the S&P 500 shedding 1.7%, strategists say gridlock on Capitol Hill is starting to send shutters through the market. The S&P 500 on Monday notched its worst session since May. Dan Clinton, head of policy research at Strategas Research Partners, wrote that Wall Street is increasingly convinced lawmakers won’t address the debt ceiling anytime soon. “Much of this is short-term risk and headline risk, but the framework of Washington policy is shifting to more risk after 18 months of unlimited fiscal and monetary policy,” he wrote. “Consensus now believes that the debt ceiling will be raised in the second half of October, meaning a last-minute move, and another month of talk of debt ceiling breaches and prioritization of government spending if the debt ceiling is not lifted.” If Congress fails to suspend or raise the borrowing limit before the so-called drop-dead date, the U.S. government will default for the first time. The Treasury Department doesn’t have a precise “drop-dead” date right now, but estimates that it’s likely some point in October. House Democrats plan to hold a vote this week on a piece of legislation that would suspend the limit and fund the government for a matter of months beyond the close of the fiscal year when it ends Sept. 30.

Corporate Revolving Credit Facility Usage Ticks Up, Bankruptcy Recoveries Remain Strong

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Revolving credit facilities remained a critical tool for companies, with overall robust recoveries for both asset-backed loans (ABL) and cash flow revolvers, according to a new Fitch Ratings report. Utilization rates for both ABL and cash flow facilities with usage disclosed as of the bankruptcy petition date were 79 percent when separately averaged for the two cohorts. Revolver facilities averaged an 88 percent ultimate recovery, with asset backed loans recovering an average 96 percent, versus 82 percent for cash flow revolvers. Recovery distributions for revolver claims were paid exclusively in cash, including debtor-in-possession facility roll-ups, for 65% of the claims. The remainder were largely satisfied by various combinations of cash, new debt and new common equity.

Most Institutional Investors Expect to Buy Digital Assets, Study Finds

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Seven in 10 institutional investors expect to invest in or buy digital assets in the future, although price volatility is the main barrier for new entrants, a study by Fidelity's cryptocurrency business found and Reuters reported. More than half of the 1,100 institutional investors surveyed globally by Coalition Greenwich on behalf of Fidelity Digital Assets between December and April said they had digital asset investments. Around 90% of those interested in investing in future said they expected their company's or their clients' portfolios to include digital asset investments within the next five years, the research found. This included direct cryptocurrency investments or exposure through stocks of cryptocurrency companies or other investment products. Those surveyed included high net worth investors, family offices, digital and traditional hedge funds, financial advisors and endowments. Launched in 2018, Fidelity Digital Assets is the cryptocurrency business of Boston-based Fidelity Investments and offers institutional investors custody and execution services for assets such as bitcoin. The company was one of the first mainstream financial services providers to embrace cryptocurrencies, which increasingly have attracted established financial institutions.
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