Analysis: After 15 Years, a Bond Trade Now Pays Off
Paul Singer’s nearly 15-year-old wager on Argentinian government bonds has yielded $2.4 billion, including over $100 million for lawyer fees and other considerations, a gain of roughly 10 to 15 times its original investment, the Wall Street Journal reported today. Singer’s Elliott Management Corp., a New York hedge fund that manages $26 billion, began the investment in the early days of George W. Bush’s first term. At the time, an Elliott portfolio manager named Jay Newman was looking for an angle on Argentinian debt, then trading at about 20 cents on the dollar. Elliott reckoned it might take a few years for the investment to pan out. The country agreed in principle to pay $4.65 billion to Elliott and three other hedge funds to settle their claims on the country’s defaulted debt, according to Daniel Pollack, a mediator charged by a U.S. judge with overseeing settlement of the dispute.