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Airlines Warn Erratic Global COVID-19 Rules Could Delay Recovery

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Global airlines on Tuesday wrapped up their first meeting since COVID-19 brought their industry to its knees, voicing optimism about pent-up demand but desperate for governments to harmonize disjointed border rules to avoid slipping back into recession, Reuters reported. The International Air Transport Association (IATA), which groups 290 airlines, said confusion over travel restrictions were holding back the industry's fragile recovery after the pandemic plunged air travel into its worst-ever downturn. IATA expects international travel to double next year compared with the depressed levels seen during the pandemic and reach 44% of pre-crisis 2019 levels. In contrast, domestic travel is tipped to reach 93% of the pre-pandemic levels. The trade group, which includes dozens of state-owned carriers, blamed that gap on wide variations in entry rules and testing requirements in the top 50 air travel markets. Airlines called for an end to restrictions on vaccinated travelers and for common health protocols at borders, though global coordination in aviation tends to move at a deliberate pace. 
 
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Grupo Aeromexico Reorganization Plan Rests on New Equity, Debt Financing

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Mexican airline Grupo Aeromexico SAB de CV has filed a reorganization plan that includes a financing proposal largely backed by a group of senior noteholders and unsecured creditors and allow the carrier to shed $1 billion from its debt stack, Reuters reported. In court papers filed late Friday, Aeromexico says it is continuing to “actively negotiate with various stakeholders regarding an exit financing package” based on the noteholders and trade creditors’ joint proposal to bring in as much creditor support for the plan as possible. The airline, represented by Davis Polk & Wardwell, filed for chapter 11 in June 2020 with $2 billion in debt, blaming the downturn in travel demand caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Aeromexico plans to ask U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Shelley Chapman in Manhattan to grant approval for it to begin soliciting creditor votes on the plan at a hearing on Oct. 25. The joint proposal includes $1.1875 billion in new equity and $537.5 million in new secured debt. The new financing would be used to refinance or pay off all or some of $1 billion in loans used to fund operations during the bankruptcy. It would also be used to cover costs necessary to emerge from chapter 11, to set up a cash-out option for general unsecured creditors and acquire Aimia Holdings UK Ltd’s interest in the airline's travel loyalty program, PLM Premier. The joint proposal puts Aeromexico's total enterprise value at $5.4 billion. Aeromexico says the plan would save nearly 13,000 jobs worldwide.

Treasury to Shift Rental Assistance to Places with Demand

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The Treasury Department yesterday announced plans to start reallocating the billions of dollars in federal rental assistance in a bid to get more money into the hands of tenants facing eviction, the Associated Press reported. The move, which was required by Congress when it allocated the monies, follows the slow distribution of rental assistance in many parts of the country. A little more than 16.5% of the tens of billions of dollars in federal assistance reached tenants in August, compared with 11% a month earlier. Lawmakers have approved $46.5 billion in spending on rental assistance and Treasury is targeting the first tranche of money known as ERA1 which amounts to $25 billion. States and cities are mostly allocating ERA1 money, which must be spent by Sept. 30, 2022. Allocation of the second installment of $21.5 billion, can go through through Sept. 30, 2025. The goal, Treasury officials said, is to reallocate money from those programs either don’t need it or don’t have the desire to set up a program.

States and Cities Slow to Spend Federal Pandemic Money

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As Congress considered a massive COVID-19 relief package earlier this year, hundreds of mayors from across the U.S. pleaded for “immediate action” on billions of dollars targeted to shore up their finances and revive their communities, the Associated Press reported. Now that they’ve received it, local officials are taking their time before actually spending the windfall. As of this summer, a majority of large cities and states hadn’t spent a penny from the American Rescue Plan championed by Democrats and President Joe Biden, according to an Associated Press review of the first financial reports due under the law. States had spent just 2.5% of their initial allotment while large cities spent 8.5%, according to the AP analysis. Many state and local governments reported they were still working on plans for their share of the $350 billion, which can be spent on a wide array of programs. Though Biden signed the law in March, the Treasury Department didn’t release the money and spending guidelines until May. By then, some state legislatures already had wrapped up their budget work for the next year, leaving governors with no authority to spend the new money. Some states waited several more months to ask the federal government for their share.

California's Eviction Moratorium Ends, Leaving Tenants Facing 'Tsunami of Evictions'

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California may become a ground zero for a homelessness crisis, as the end of the state's temporary halt to evictions — which officially expired on Thursday — means renters in arrears face the prospect of being forced from their homes, Yahoo Finance reported. Until September 30, state law automatically banned landlords from evicting people for unpaid rent. However, beginning Friday, tenants with unpaid rent can only be protected from evictions if they have applied for assistance. Tenants are still responsible for unpaid rent, but can’t be evicted for it if they meet this threshold. As a result, Friday officially marked the countdown for the Golden State to insulate tenants against what one advocate called a looming “tsunami” of forced dislodging of renters, a microcosm of what indebted renters are facing nationwide after the Supreme Court invalidated a federal moratorium. California is scrambling to make sure tenants with unpaid rent know they can still stay in their homes after that date — but only if they have applied for assistance from the state, which has a total of $5.2 billion of federal dollars to help pay back rent owed by tenants who lost jobs or income. As of Monday, more than 309,000 households have applied for assistance, asking for nearly $3 billion.
 

Consumer Spending Rose as Inflation Held Firm in August

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Inflation held firm in August as consumer spending rebounded sharply from a July decline, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department, The Hill reported. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of consumer price growth, rose 0.4 percent in August and 0.3 percent without food and energy prices, the same rates as in July. Annual inflation ticked higher in August, rising 0.1 percent from July to 4.3 percent, while annual inflation without food or energy prices stayed even at 3.6 percent. The rate of consumer price increases has appeared to slow from a sharp rise this summer, but inflation has remained at decade-plus highs longer than many economists, including White House and Federal Reserve officials, had anticipated. A combination of severe shipping backlogs, supply chain snarls, hiring troubles in key industries and the stifling impact of the delta variant have all kept upward pressure on consumer prices, with little clarity into when they will ease. Consumer spending, however, snapped back strongly from a 0.1 percent decline in July, rising 0.8 percent in August and 0.4 percent when adjusted for inflation.

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Analysis: Falling Unemployment Could Add to Worries About the U.S. Labor Market

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The Labor Department’s official unemployment rate — the most well-known gauge of the labor market’s health — counts as unemployed only those who aren’t working but are actively seeking a job. That leaves out millions who stopped working and looking for work since the coronavirus hit the economy in early 2020, leaving many businesses struggling to hire, the Wall Street Journal reported. A September drop would be good news if it primarily reflects job growth. Economists estimate that employers added 485,000 jobs to payrolls last month, which would be a pickup from August but not as large as the monthly gains of early summer. But the decline would be worrisome if it is also due to potential workers staying on the sidelines. In Friday’s report, economists will be closely watching the labor-force participation rate, or the share of adults working or seeking work. It has held at or below 61.7% since April, well down from 63.4% in January 2020.

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