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Housing Market Chills as Mortgage Rates, Prices Scare Buyers

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The Federal Reserve has aggressively raised short-term interest rates to fight inflation, which in turn helps push rates higher for credit cards, auto loans and mortgages, the Associated Press reported. Rising mortgage rates have combined with already-high home prices to discourage would-be buyers. Mortgage applications have declined sharply. Sales of previously occupied homes have fallen for five straight months, during what is generally the busiest time of year in real estate. The rate on a 30-year mortgage averaged around 5.54% this week, according to mortgage-buyer Freddie Mac; a year ago it was close to 2.78%. The increase in rates is leaving buyers with some unwelcome options: pay hundreds of dollars more for a mortgage, buy a smaller home or choose to live in a less desirable neighborhood, or drop out of the market, at least until rates come down. All signals point toward the Fed continuing to raise interest rates, promising little relief for potential buyers at least for the rest of the year.

Federal Consumer Finance Watchdog to Tighten Bank Rules Around Money-Transfer Scams, Report Says

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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) said that it plans to tighten rules around fraudulent money transfers via services like Zelle by pushing banks to repay more customers harmed by these alleged scams, CNBC reported. These services facilitate quick digital payments from person to person. The CFPB is preparing to issue guidance in the coming weeks that would raise banks’ financial obligations to customers who lose money in a payment-services scam. Banks generally only have liability for such transactions when they’re unauthorized by customers, but the CFPB could raise the bar by deeming payments made to a scammer as unauthorized. A spokesperson for Early Warning Services LLC, a group of seven banks that own Zelle, said the service has helped millions of consumers in their everyday lives, whether to pay rent, get money quickly when in need or satisfy debts to friends quickly. “Protecting consumers is one of our top priorities,” the spokesperson said. “As a network, we constantly adapt consumer protection measures to address the dynamic and evolving nature of deceptive activities fraudsters employ.”

More than Half of Americans Have Owed Medical Debt in Last Five Years, Study Finds

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With inflation on the rise, any kind of debt may prove to be a hardship, Consumer Affairs reported. A recent study from the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) found that 57% of adults reported owing medical debt during the last five years. Even people with health insurance often discovered that they owed large amounts of money for an uncovered expense. Among insured adults under age 65, 61% were reportedly hit with a large, surprise medical bill. Among that group, 53% said they received a medical or dental bill they thought contained an error. Some two-thirds of these patients said the error involved something that should have been covered by their health insurance. Other provider errors were also reported, including being billed for services never received or for bills that had already been paid. The KFF study found that just over half – 51% – of people who were wrongly billed for medical services could not resolve the matter to their satisfaction. Making matters worse, 32% of people with disputed health care debt have had that bill sent to collections, damaging their credit score and limiting their future access to credit, loans and financing.
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Default Risks Grow Across Most U.S. Sectors in 2nd Quarter: S&P

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The chances of default across a majority of U.S. business sectors rose in the second quarter, according to a new report by S&P Global Market Intelligence, The Epoch Times reported. The study found that every sector, except for financial institutions, posted a higher median market signal — a one-year probability of default score by the end of the April-to-June period — compared with the first quarter. Health care topped the list at 7.3 percent, up from 4.6 percent. Communication services ranked second, climbing to 4.9 percent from 3.2 percent. Consumer discretionary spending inched higher, to 3.8 percent from 2.5 percent. Information technology and consumer staples rounded out the top five, at 2.7 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively. S&P Global Market Intelligence data indicated that the odds of a default in the financial sector eased to 0.2 percent from 0.3 percent during the January-March period. The utilities market was at the bottom of the list at 0.2 percent. When assessing default risks by industry, the report identified health care facilities, health care technology, advertising, broadcasting and health care services as the most vulnerable. The data highlighted that the least vulnerable were asset-management and custody banks, multi-utilities, electric utilities, railroads and water utilities.
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The World Economy Is Imperiled by a Force Hiding in Plain Sight

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This past week brought home the magnitude of the overlapping crises assailing the global economy, intensifying fears of recession, job losses, hunger and a plunge on stock markets, The New York Times reported. At the root of this torment is a force so elemental that it has almost ceased to warrant mention — the pandemic. That force is far from spent, confronting policymakers with grave uncertainty. Their policy tools are better suited for more typical downturns, not a rare combination of diminishing economic growth and soaring prices. Major economies including the U.S. and France reported their latest data on inflation, revealing that prices on a vast range of goods rose faster in June than anytime in four decades. Those grim numbers increased the likelihood that central banks would move even more aggressively to raise interest rates as a means of slowing price increases — a course expected to cost jobs, batter financial markets and threaten poor countries with debt crises. The specter of slowing economic growth combined with rising prices has even revived a dreaded word that was a regular part of the vernacular in the 1970s, the last time the world suffered similar problems: stagflation. Most of the challenges tearing at the global economy were set in motion by the world’s reaction to the spread of COVID-19 and its attendant economic shock, even as they have been worsened by the latest upheaval — Russia’s disastrous attack on Ukraine, which has diminished the supply of food, fertilizer and energy. It was the pandemic that prompted governments to impose lockdowns to limit its spread, hindering factories from China to Germany to Mexico. When people confined to home then ordered record volumes of goods — exercise equipment, kitchen appliances, electronics — that overwhelmed the capacity to make and ship them, yielding the Great Supply Chain Disruption. The resulting scarcity of products pushed prices up. Companies in highly concentrated industries from meat production to shipping exploited their market dominance to rack up record profits.
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U.S. Consumer Inflation Rises to Highest Annual Rate Since 1981

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U.S. consumer prices surged 9.1% in June, the largest annual increase in more than four decades amid stubbornly high costs for gasoline, food and rent, cementing the case for another 75-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve this month, Reuters reported. The larger-than-expected increase in the year-on-year consumer price index reported by the Labor Department on Wednesday also reflected higher prices for healthcare, motor vehicles, apparel as well as household furniture. The CPI increased by the most in nearly 17 years on a monthly basis. The inflation data followed on the heels of stronger-than-expected job growth in June and suggested that the Fed's aggressive monetary policy stance had made little progress so far in cooling domestic demand and bringing inflation down to its 2% target. Though a global problem, high inflation is a political risk for U.S. President Joe Biden and his Democratic Party heading into congressional elections in November. "Despite the Fed's best intentions, the economy looks to be moving into a higher inflation regime," said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS in New York. "The Fed is even further behind the curve after today's sizzling report." The consumer price index increased 1.3% last month, the biggest monthly gain since September 2005, after advancing 1.0% in May. A 7.5% surge in energy prices accounted for nearly half of the increase in the CPI. Gasoline prices jumped 11.2% after rebounding by 4.1% in May. Natural gas prices rose 8.2%, the most since October 2005, while the cost of electricity increased 1.7%. Food prices gained 1.0%. The cost of food consumed at home rose 1.0%, posting the sixth straight monthly increase of at least 1.0%.

Relief Eludes Many Renters as Fed Raises Interest Rates

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Rents have been rising swiftly across America for much of the pandemic era, and housing experts are warning that they could now receive a boost from an unlikely source: the Federal Reserve, the New York Times reported. As the central bank raises interest rates to cool down the economy and contain rapid inflation, it is also pushing up mortgage costs, putting home purchases out of reach for many first-time buyers. If people who would have otherwise bought a home remain waylaid in apartments and rented houses, it could compound already-booming demand — keeping pressure on rental prices. While it is tough to predict how big or how lasting that Fed-induced bump in rental demand might prove, it could ironically make it more difficult for the central bank to wrestle inflation lower in the near term. Rent-related costs make up nearly a third of the closely tracked Consumer Price Index inflation measure, so anything that helps to keep them climbing at an unusually brisk pace is likely to perpetuate rapid inflation. Rents on new leases climbed by 14.1 percent in the year through June, according to Apartment List, an apartment listing service. While that is slightly less than the 17.5 percent increase over the course of 2021, it is still an unusually rapid pace of growth. Before the pandemic, a 2 to 3 percent pace of annual increase was normal. The recent quick market rent increases have been slowly spilling over to official inflation data, which track both new and existing leases.

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About 70% of Medical Debt Is Being Wiped Off Credit Reports

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Millions of Americans will now see a cleaner bill of health on their credit reports, making it easier for many to get an apartment or apply for a loan, the Wall Street Journal reported. Effective July 1, the three major credit reporting bureaus have removed medical debts that went into collection but were subsequently paid. In the past, these types of debts would remain on reports for as long as seven years. More changes are coming too. Beginning next year, credit reports will also be stripped of all unpaid medical debts up to $500. The two changes combined should scrub 70% of the approximately $88 billion in medical debt that currently shows up on the credit reports of 43 million Americans, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Removing these blemishes should help some people when getting credit checks by landlords, employers, or when applying for loans, consumer advocates said. Some people could see a modest boost to their credit score, and others will benefit merely from having traces of the past debts deleted. Equifax, Experian PLC and TransUnion, the biggest credit-reporting firms, announced these changes to reporting practices in March, a month after a report from the CFPB suggested it would look into “whether policies should be implemented to eliminate unpaid medical billing data on credit reports altogether.” Though unpaid medical bills account for 58% of all debt in third-party collection, according to the CFPB, the agency’s research has found it isn’t a very good predictor of overall creditworthiness. FICO, which powers the most widely used credit scores, also found that paid medical collections are even less predictive of a person’s ability to repay than unpaid medical collections. (Subscription required.)