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U.S. Farmers to Receive $4.7 Billion to Offset Trade-War Losses

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The Trump administration said it would make $4.7 billion in payments to U.S. farmers to offset losses from trade battles rippling across the globe, MarketWatch.com reported. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said yesterday that the funds constitute an initial payment to farmers hit by tariffs from major U.S. trading partners, which have left producers of commodities from soybeans to pork to apples vulnerable during a steep downturn in the agricultural economy. Farmers have been anxiously awaiting details of the aid package the USDA pledged in July. The USDA said then that it would extend up to $12 billion in emergency aid in response to U.S. trading partners’ “unjustified retaliation” to trade policies enacted by Trump. Soybean farmers are slated to get roughly three-fourths of the direct payments, or $3.6 billion, followed by producers of pork, cotton, sorghum, dairy and wheat.

U.S. Tries to Rein In High-Speed Trading in Farm Patch

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The U.S. government is taking steps to protect agricultural markets from high-frequency traders — a move some say will make little difference down on the farm, the Wall Street Journal reported. Starting on Aug. 1, the Agriculture Department will change how it releases crop and livestock reports. It is an attempt to placate critics who say fast traders are reaping profits in wheat, corn and soybean futures at the expense of slower investors. The agency says computerized traders can currently get its data around two seconds before everyone else — eons in today’s electronic markets. Farmers, ranchers and agribusinesses often rely on futures markets to protect against swings in commodity prices. Some agriculture groups complain that high-speed trading has hurt these markets by increasing volatility and making it tougher for more traditional players to execute trades at good prices.

Owner of Bankrupt Oregon Dairy Seeks Permission to Sell

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The owner of a controversial Oregon dairy wants to sell the facility and cattle rather than immediately liquidate the herd as sought by a major creditor, the Sacramento Bee reported. Greg te Velde, owner of Lost Valley Farm in Boardman, has asked a bankruptcy judge for permission hire a real estate broker to sell the dairy and nearly 7,300 acres for $95 million. Roughly 8,750 milk and dry cows and 3,380 heifers would be listed for $14 million under the proposed agreement with Schuil & Associates, a brokerage firm specializing in agriculture. A potential investor may already be interested in the dairy. During a recent court hearing, an attorney for Washington Agri Investments, a limited liability company based in Spokane, Washington, said the firm is looking at buying the property. However, Rabobank — which loaned more than $60 million to te Velde — still wants to hold an auction as soon as possible to sell off Lost Valley Farm's cattle, arguing the herd is losing its worth.

May ABI Journal Article Assesses Looming U.S. Farm Crisis

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Alexandria, Va. — A continued decline in commodity prices, rising interest rates and the specter of a trade war could create a financial crisis in the U.S. agricultural sector, according to an article in the May ABI Journal. “The resulting financial stress has resulted in significant deterioration in farm income, which will cause a substantial increase in agricultural workouts and bankruptcies unless commodity prices start to increase,” Mark T. Iammartino and Daniel F. Dooley of MorrisAnderson (Chicago) write in their article, “The Coming U.S. Farm Crisis.”

Iammartino and Dooley find that the struggles being experienced in today’s U.S. agricultural sector resemble those faced by farmers in the early 1980s. “There is substantial risk that if commodity prices remain depressed, recent signs of weakness in real estate values might increase and overall debt conditions could worsen,” they write. “If land values start to decline as they did in the early 1980s, then farm insolvencies will rapidly increase.”

Iammartino and Dooley write that if USDA projections of improvements to pricing of most crop segments prove to be true, then the U.S. might avoid a crisis in farming as deep as what was experienced in the early to mid-1980s. “Even with the prospect of rising interest rates, if commodity prices have reached their nadir and begin to climb once again, continued ample cash liquidity might have helped prop up real estate prices and stopped the degradation of loan characteristics,” they write. “One other trend that might help mitigate a potential crisis is the continued concentration of farms into corporate hands.”

The wild card in the agricultural industry is what ultimately happens with trade tariffs, according to the authors. “If export volumes decline, there will be further pressure on U.S. prices,” Iammartino and Dooley write. “Thus, the possibility of a trade war is a real threat to the agriculture industry and could spark a crisis itself.”

To obtain a copy of “The Coming U.S. Farm Crisis” from the May edition of the ABI Journal, please click here. To speak with the authors, please contact ABI Public Affairs Manager John Hartgen at 703-894-5935 or jhartgen@abiworld.org.

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ABI is the largest multi-disciplinary, nonpartisan organization dedicated to research and education on matters related to insolvency. ABI was founded in 1982 to provide Congress and the public with unbiased analysis of bankruptcy issues. The ABI membership includes nearly 12,000 attorneys, accountants, bankers, judges, professors, lenders, turnaround specialists and other bankruptcy professionals, providing a forum for the exchange of ideas and information. For additional information on ABI, visit www.abiworld.org. For additional conference information, visit http://www.abi.org/education-events.

 

Farmers Across High Plains Brace for Hard Times as Drought Bears Down

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After three fairly wet years, a drought ranging from “severe” to “exceptional” has descended on the southern Great Plains of Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the Wall Street Journal reported. Home to one of the nation’s most fertile farming areas — crop production in the Texas region alone generates about $12 billion in economic activity — observers say the drought could punish the agricultural sector, affecting everything from cotton to cattle to farming-equipment sales. “It’s going to be in the billions in terms of crop loss,” said Darren Hudson, director of the International Center for Agricultural Competitiveness at Texas Tech University in Lubbock. A semiarid region, the southern Plains region has seen drought conditions for much of the last decade, but the severity of this latest dry spell is of particular concern. For many farmers here, the sudden falloff in precipitation is reminiscent of the devastating drought of 2011 when Texas agriculture lost $7.6 billion, the worst losses on record in the state.

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