Federal Reserve Officials Weighing How to Retool Rate Guidance
Federal Reserve officials are discussing ways to revise their guidance about the likely future path of interest rates, but it takes some detective work to pin down how they might do it, The Wall Street Journal reported yesterday. The Fed has said in its recent policy statements that it will not start raising short-term interest rates from near zero until well past the time the unemployment rate falls below 6.5 percent, but with joblessness at 6.7 percent in February, several officials have indicated that they might want to scrap the threshold entirely or revamp their message in other ways. Fed policymakers will debate the matter at their meeting Tuesday and Wednesday, although reaching agreement on a new approach could be a challenge. The options that some officials have mentioned include offering broad assurances for considering when to raise rates. Stanley Fischer, a former Bank of Israel governor who has been nominated to become Fed vice chairman, said at a Senate hearing, "achievement of both maximum employment and price stability requires the continuation of an expansionary monetary policy." (Subscription required.)