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U.S. Pending Home Sales Tumble in June as Mortgage Rates Soar

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

Contracts to buy U.S. previously owned homes fell more than expected in June as rising mortgage rates and higher house prices continued to reduce affordability for entry-level and first-time buyers, Reuters reported. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said yesterday that its Pending Home Sales Index, based on signed contracts, tumbled 8.6% to 91.0 last month. Contracts declined in all four regions. The contract rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is averaging 5.54%, according to data from mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac. The rate has risen more than 200 basis points since January as inflation soared and the Federal Reserve aggressively tightened monetary policy.

Housing Market Chills as Mortgage Rates, Prices Scare Buyers

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

The Federal Reserve has aggressively raised short-term interest rates to fight inflation, which in turn helps push rates higher for credit cards, auto loans and mortgages, the Associated Press reported. Rising mortgage rates have combined with already-high home prices to discourage would-be buyers. Mortgage applications have declined sharply. Sales of previously occupied homes have fallen for five straight months, during what is generally the busiest time of year in real estate. The rate on a 30-year mortgage averaged around 5.54% this week, according to mortgage-buyer Freddie Mac; a year ago it was close to 2.78%. The increase in rates is leaving buyers with some unwelcome options: pay hundreds of dollars more for a mortgage, buy a smaller home or choose to live in a less desirable neighborhood, or drop out of the market, at least until rates come down. All signals point toward the Fed continuing to raise interest rates, promising little relief for potential buyers at least for the rest of the year.

Mortgage Demand Hits 22-Year Low as Inflation, Interest Rates Surge

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
Demand for mortgages crashed to a multi-decade low last week as prospective homebuyers are contending with surging inflation and rising interest rates, the New York Post reported. The volume of mortgage loan applications sank 6.3% for the week ending on July 15 compared to one week earlier, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). The index measuring activity dropped to its lowest level since 2000. Refinance applications also declined by 4% compared to the previous week and have fallen by 80% compared to the same week one year ago, the survey found. The MBA’s purchase index, which measures the volume of applications for mortgages to buy homes, fell 7% week-over-week and 19% year-over-year. The downtick in mortgage demand coincided with a surge in interest rates, which have nearly doubled since January as the Federal Reserve hikes its benchmark rate to combat inflation. While the Fed rate does not directly impact mortgages, all forms of borrowing are becoming more expensive on the expectation of tightened economic policy. The average contract interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances jumped to 5.82% last week, up from 5.74% the previous week. The same mortgage had a 3.11% rate during the same week one year earlier.
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U.S. Existing Home Sales Slide Again; Prices Hit Fresh Record High

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
U.S. existing home sales fell for a fifth straight month in June to the lowest level in two years, as fast-rising interest rates and record-high selling prices are making buying a home too expensive for a growing share of American households, Reuters reported. Mortgage interest rates have soared as a result of the Federal Reserve's stiff rate hikes to try to tame high inflation. That has driven a new buyer's monthly payment up by more than 50% in the first six months of 2022 by some estimates and has had a clear effect on home sales, which had surged during the COVID-19 pandemic to the highest levels since the mid-2000s. In June, sales of previously owned homes fell 5.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.12 million units, the lowest level since June 2020, when sales were rebounding from the COVID-19 lockdown slump, the National Association of Realtors said. Sales have now fallen each month since January. Economists had forecast that sales would decrease to a rate of 5.38 million units. Sales were unchanged in the Northeast and fell in the Midwest, the West and South. Home resales, which account for nearly 90% of the residential real estate market, dropped 14.2% on a year-on-year basis. The decline brought June's sales rate to below the pace that prevailed in 2019 before the pandemic.
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U.S. Housing Market Could Be Headed for ‘Meltdown,’ Economist Warns

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
The U.S. housing market could be on the verge of a “meltdown,” an economist warned following the release of data showing a collapse in homebuilder confidence in July, the New York Post reported. Homebuilder confidence plummeted 12 points to 55 in July, according to data from the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Sentiment has declined for seven straight months and is now at its lowest level since May 2020 — with more trouble potentially ahead for homeowners. “Homebuilders have been in denial about the extent of the drop in demand, despite mortgage applications falling by more than a quarter over the first half of the year, with no end in sight to the decline,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. “Now, they are acknowledging reality.” The National Association of Home Builders noted confidence within the housing market has sagged due to the impact of high inflation and rising interest rates that have resulted in “dramatically slowing sales and buyer traffic.” The mortgage rates have compounded difficulties from would-be buyers who have to balance long-term loan commitments against exorbitantly high home prices that surged during the COVID-19 pandemic.