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Staying Domestic Is Working for U.S. Bank Investors

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
Given what’s going on in the world right now, U.S. bank investors can be forgiven for sticking closer to familiar territory, the Wall Street Journal reported. Overall, U.S. banks don’t have a significant amount at risk directly in Russia, with by one measure roughly $15 billion worth of exposure to the country, according to Bank for International Settlements data. That is a relative drop in the bucket. But banks’ direct claims aren’t the end of the story and many bank stocks have tumbled with the broader market this year. One possible worry was that interest rates could rise more slowly if the spillover from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine impacted the U.S. economic outlook. For now, though, the Federal Reserve is sharply moving up its rate projections and penciling in several more increases. Bank stocks are typically closely linked to rates because their interest income is expected to rise as rates do. Wall Street banks that earn lots of fees from clients can outperform if there is a question about a slower pace of rate increases. But disruptions in markets — particularly in commodities, where prices have gyrated — have themselves been a major part of the concern in recent weeks. Market gyrations and selloffs can depress banks’ revenues from client trading or advising companies on mergers and capital raising. Analysts’ estimates anticipate first-quarter year-over-year trading revenue declines of about 20% across the biggest Wall Street banks.

Aeromexico Exits Bankruptcy with a $5 Bln Investment Plan, Changes in Its Fleet

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
Mexican airline Grupo Aeromexico said that it has emerged from bankruptcy protection, adding it now plans to spend $5 billion over the next five years on fleet modernization and other upgrades, Reuters reported. The airline, which filed for bankruptcy after the pandemic sent demand plummeting, detailed plans to receive 22 more planes in 2022, bringing its total fleet of aircraft to 147 by the end of the year. The company last year signed a deal to buy 28 planes from Boeing Co., which it argued would result in $2 billion of savings. The previously announced fleet upgrade could help reduce the company's fuel costs since Boeing 737 MAX cost 20% less than their predecessors to operate. Beyond upgrading its fleet, Aeromexico needs to implement technology that further reduces unit costs, so it can better compete with local low-cost carriers Volaris and Viva Aerobus, and its peers operating international routes. The carrier will also restart some international routes it had halted during the pandemic, including to London, and open new ones.

Instant Grocery Delivery App Buyk Files for Bankruptcy After Russian Sanctions

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
Rapid grocery-delivery app Buyk Corp. filed for bankruptcy and will permanently shut down after fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine restricted the startup’s access to funding, Bloomberg reported. Buyk, which launched in New York last year, listed assets and liabilities of as much as $10 million each in its bankruptcy petition. The company has ceased operations and plans to sell off remaining its remaining inventory. Buyk struggled to access financing after President Vladimir Putin restricted the flow of money outside of the country, CEO James Walker said. The startup has been exploring selling itself in a bid to secure capital. The company listed its co-founders, Slava Bocharov and Rodion Shishkov, as its largest equityholders. Buyk sought court protection “in view of the inability of the investors to further fund the ongoing business.” Buyk’s founders also started the delivery service Samokat, one of Russia’s biggest instant grocery-delivery companies. It’s partially owned by state-controlled bank Sberbank, which landed last month on the list of sanctioned entities by the U.S. government over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Buyk has arranged a loan of $6.5 million to help cover costs while in bankruptcy. The first $5 million is earmarked for the payment of employees and couriers.  The firm recently furloughed almost all its employees — about 900 people — amid financial concerns. The startup’s founders are Russian and had been providing bridge financing while the company prepared to close its next funding round.

ABI to Present Webinar on Ukraine Conflict's Impact on Capital, Markets and Boardrooms

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on

March 15, 2022, Alexandria, Va. — The American Bankruptcy Institute (ABI) and professionals from law firm Squire Patton Boggs and the Arab Gulf States Institute will be presenting a webinar on Tuesday, March 22, 2022, at 12:00 noon EDT to discuss the financial repercussions of Europe’s largest military conflict since World War II.

The conflict in Europe has generated a maze of rapid legal, political and economic responses from authorities around the globe. Those actions are rippling through capital, markets and boardrooms as businesses grapple with how to respond. The panelists, listed below, will discuss where we are headed and what businesses should consider:

  • Stephen Lerner, Moderator
    Squire Patton Boggs; Cincinnati
  • Speaker John Boehner
    Squire Patton Boggs; Washington, D.C.
  • Patrick J. Brooks
    Squire Patton Boggs; Moscow and Washington, D.C.
  • Kate Dourian
    Arab Gulf States Institute; Washington, D.C.
  • Ludmilla L. Kasulke
    Squire Patton Boggs; Washington, D.C.
  • Ambassador Matthew Kirk
    Squire Patton Boggs; London
  • José María Viñals
    Squire Patton Boggs; Brussels, Belgium
  • Career Ambassador Frank G. Wisner
    Squire Patton Boggs; New York

For more information about the webinar or to register to attend, please visit https://www.abi.org/calendar-of-events.

About ABI

The American Bankruptcy Institute (ABI) is the largest multi-disciplinary, nonpartisan organization dedicated to research and education on matters related to insolvency. ABI was founded in 1982 to provide Congress and the public with unbiased analysis of bankruptcy issues. The ABI membership includes nearly 10,000 attorneys, accountants, bankers, judges, professors, lenders, turnaround specialists and other bankruptcy professionals, providing a forum for the exchange of ideas and information. For additional information on ABI, visit www.abiworld.org.

Russia Is Spiraling Toward a $150 Billion Default Nightmare

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
Russia’s economy is fraying, its currency has collapsed, and its debt is junk. Next up is a potential default that could cost investors billions and shut the country out of most funding markets, Bloomberg reported. Warning lights are flashing as the government kickstarts the process of paying $117 million in interest on dollar bonds Wednesday, a key moment for debt holders who’ve already seen the value of their investments plunge since Russia invaded Ukraine last month. The government says that all debt will be serviced, though it will happen in rubles as long as sanctions — imposed because of the war — don’t allow dollar settlements. Failure to pay, or paying in local currency instead of dollars, would start the clock ticking on a potential wave of defaults on about $150 billion in foreign-currency debt owed by both the government and Russian companies including Gazprom, Lukoil and Sberbank. Such an event will revive memories of previous crises, including Russia in 1998, when it defaulted on some ruble-denominated debt, and Argentina three years later. Signs of looming financial damage are becoming apparent at many of the world's biggest money managers, including BlackRock Inc. and Pacific Investment Management Co. But it’s not likely to be limited to these giant funds. Because much of Russia’s debt was rated investment grade just weeks ago, the securities were pervasive across global fixed-income portfolios and benchmarks, meaning the impact could ripple across pension funds, endowments and foundations.

In Court, a Former Goldman Star Recounts His Lies and Bribes in 1MDB Deceit

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

In a U.S. court, former Goldman Sachs partner Tim Leissner has admitted to taking $60 million in kickbacks, lying to the bank about his corrupt deals, and twice forging divorce documents to take on new wives, Reuters reported. Despite his history of deceit, Leissner is the key witness prosecutors are asking jurors to believe in the trial of Roger Ng, a former colleague of Leissner's at Goldman who is charged with helping loot Malaysia's 1MDB sovereign wealth fund during a scheme that lasted from 2009 to 2014. Leissner in 2018 pleaded guilty to conspiring to launder money and violate an anti-bribery law, and agreed to cooperate with prosecutors. Ng pleaded not guilty to similar charges and is standing trial in Brooklyn federal court. In more than a week of testimony, Leissner has described his high-flying lifestyle as the lucrative 1MDB deals made him a "star," and the steps he took to avoid getting caught. The charges stem from some $6.5 billion in bonds Goldman helped 1MDB sell in 2012 and 2013. Prosecutors say $4.5 billion of that was embezzled by officials, bankers and their associates, in one of the biggest scandals in Wall Street history. Goldman in 2020 agreed to pay a $3 billion fine and have its Malaysia subsidiary plead guilty in U.S. court. The bank said at the time it did not adequately "scrutinize the representations of certain members of the deal team."

U.S. Warns Banks, Crypto Firms Against Potential Efforts to Evade Russian Sanctions

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

The U.S. Treasury Department is warning financial institutions and cryptocurrency firms to be on the lookout for attempts to evade sanctions and other restrictions imposed as a result of Russia’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine, the Wall Street Journal reported. The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, an anti-money-laundering agency within the Treasury, issued an alert Monday that includes red flags to help financial institutions identify potential sanctions-evasion efforts and to remind them to quickly report any suspicious activities. The U.S. and its allies have imposed economic sanctions and trade restrictions on Russia and Belarus in recent weeks, including blacklisting key Russian state-owned banks and prohibiting transactions with some Russian government entities, including the Russian Central Bank. FinCEN said that sanctioned Russian and Belarusian entities and individuals may try to evade sanctions in various ways, including through non-sanctioned Russian and Belarusian banks and financial institutions in third countries. Some indicators of possible sanctions-evasion activity include the use of shell companies to obscure the ownership of entities or funds or to make international wire transfers.

Russian Debt Default May Test Limits of Credit Default Swap Market

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

The Russian government stands on the edge of defaulting on its sovereign debts for the first time since 1998, and international sanctions may complicate how creditors are compensated by nearly $6 billion of credit derivatives contracts if Russia fails to pay what they are owed, WSJ Pro Bankruptcy reported. Those derivative contracts, called credit default swaps, are meant to help investors insure they will receive near full compensation in case one of their underlying bonds defaults. There is approximately $4.5 billion of credit default swaps tied specifically to the Russian government, and an additional $1.5 billion located inside derivative indexes, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The cost of buying a five-year contract for protection against a Russian government default has skyrocketed since the beginning of February from around 5% of the total value of the debt to be insured to 46% as of March 4, according to data from ICE Data Services. ICE is the main clearinghouse for European credit default swaps.

Citgo Sales Process Put in Motion With Venezuela’s Shares Still Frozen

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

A federal judge put in motion a sale process for Venezuela’s stake in Citgo Petroleum Corp. “up to and including selecting a winning bid,” even as the U.S. government continues to block any change in control of the Houston-based refiner, WSJ Pro Bankrupty reported. Judge Leonard Stark of the U.S. District Court in Wilmington, Del., approved a sale procedure for the shares of Citgo’s U.S. holding company, a valuable state asset controlled by the U.S.-backed opposition to Venezuela’s authoritarian regime. The shares can’t be transferred under current U.S. sanctions on Venezuela, blocking the country’s many unpaid creditors from seizing them for repayment. The judge nonetheless authorized a special master on Wednesday to conduct a marketing and sales process for the shares, while saying they can’t be transferred unless the recipient obtains permission from the Treasury Department. Judge Stark said he was authorizing a “contingent auction” that wouldn’t transfer the shares’ legal title until the winning bidder held a specific license from the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control.