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Cass Freight Index Sees 'considerable' U.S. Freight Recession Risk

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

A closely watched transportation report on Thursday said "the prospect of freight recession is now considerable" as the spending shift from goods to services accelerates, inflation erodes disposable income and interest rates climb, Reuters reported. Freight transportation is viewed as a barometer for the U.S. economy because when goods purchases fall, trucks and trains carry less cargo and business activity slows. "After a nearly two-year cycle of surging freight volumes, the freight cycle has downshifted with a thud," authors of the Cass Freight Index wrote in their April report. U.S. freight volumes fell in April from March and the year-ago period, according to the report produced by data company Cass Information Systems Inc. that is closely followed by analysts and investors. The shipments component of the index fell 0.5% year over year in April, following a 0.6% year-on-year increase in March. The April shipments component dropped 2.6% from March, and was 0.9% below the normal seasonal pattern.

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