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Analysis: The Pandemic Will Permanently Change the Auto Industry

Submitted by jhartgen@abi.org on

The auto industry was bracing for a brutal year even before the coronavirus idled factories, closed dealerships and sent sales into a free fall. Now, the industry is expected to realign in ways that could have a profound effect on the eight million people worldwide who work for vehicle manufacturers, the New York Times reported. It took almost a decade for car sales in the European Union to recover from the recession that began in 2008. The U.S. market took about five years to bounce back, but sales have been flat since 2015. Explosive growth in China initially helped compensate, but the market has been in decline since 2018. As Volkswagen, Daimler, Fiat Chrysler and other companies slowly restart their assembly lines, people who work in the car business are beginning to ponder what the repercussions of this crisis will be. Automakers worldwide had at least 20 percent more factory capacity than they needed before the coronavirus hit, analysts say. That idle manufacturing space cost them money without producing any profit. As sales plummet further, shutting down underused plants may be a matter of survival.