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Wall Street Investors Can’t Remember the Last Time a GDP Report Was So Crucial

Submitted by ckanon@abi.org on
Wall Street just traversed a gauntlet: the busiest week of corporate quarterly results, fresh developments in global trade relations and a historic stock tumble by Facebook Inc., MarketWatch reported. However, the headliner of this jam-packed week might be the release of the GDP, the official scorecard of the U.S. economy. As one fixed-income strategist put it, never has a reading of gross domestic product held so much significance, with the three main equity benchmarks — the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite Index — as well as the U.S. dollar and Treasury markets primed for Friday’s highly anticipated print. Here’s how Guy LeBas, head of fixed-income strategy for Janney Montgomery Scott, put it via Twitter on Thursday: “I can’t remember the last time the markets placed such importance on a #GDP number as they have with tomorrow. Given the perceived optimism, a miss could catch rates violently offside (i.e., rally risk),” he wrote. What’s all the fuss about? Second-quarter GDP data might reflect one of the fastest rates of economic expansion since a 5.2 percent print in the third quarter of 2014, and if it comes out ahead of that figure, it would be the best GDP report since 2003. Growing buzz around the possibility of such a strong read comes as the White House has been suggesting that the number from the Commerce Department will be huge.
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